Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Foreign mercenaries flying TAF planes?

This is the well known trophy photo to celebrate the first air raid by the Air Tigers. In the picture, two cadres pose off as pilots. But one cannot help suspect the credibility of this picture. Firstly, there is no evidence that these two men were actually flying for the night air-raid. They are not equipped and do not even don a pilot suit. It is true that the Zlin-143 is not a high speed jet, but executing night bombings should come with some minimal night flight equipment. These cadres are wearing the Air Tiger uniforms only.

Secondly, where have these ‘pilots’ carried out a proper training for the nocturnal bombing? Some foreigners have said that the LTTE has to have both passive and active ground support systems including specialized personnel, fuel and communication network, apart from pilots[1] to carryout an operation of this nature. But Tigers have the ingenuity to overcome these obstacles. For example, a mid-level LTTE cadre captured by Military Intelligence recently has confessed that during a personal chat with the LTTE’s Special Commander in the East, ‘Keerthi’, the leader had said that the aircraft take-off and land on roads in the interior and that they have abandoned the runways in Iranamadu and Mulaitivu.

But this leaves more questions still unanswered. For example how do the tigers do night bombings in government areas, if pilots are not veterans? It is almost impossible to obtain nocturnal air raid capability in a short period of time. One solution would be to hire mercenaries. There are many Private Military Companies (PMCs) that can perform these tasks and some companies provide air borne services for a fee. Many are privately operated deniable forces that are extremely secretive.

AirScan inc., is an example[2]. Airscan has also been known to smuggle arms into southern Sudan as part of an operation to support the rebel, SPLA[3]. In Colombia, AirScan has been implicated in coordinating the bombing of a village in which eighteen civilians (including nine children) were killed[4]. Likewise, if the LTTE’s need of air power and supply of PMC services are corresponded, a deal can be reasonably concluded. For PMCs, the conflict is quite attractive. Furthermore, the LTTE is regarded as a reliable customer in the field. For PMCs, there is no reason to reject their request. For one, there are no adequate defenses in the government side. The government does not have static or mobile anti-aircraft missile systems. The machinegun batteries are only deterrence. It is well known that AA batteries have a very low rate of accuracy. Machine gun based units are not for bringing down aircraft, but for deterring approach of airplanes.

Despite a 12 minute advanced warning of approaching planes, the AA batteries in Trincomalee limited to the harbour and the China Bay Air Force base were unable to deter them from their course. The AA batteries inside the two bases were joined by gunboats at sea and by security forces personnel firing at the sky with T-56 rifles at random. This is NOT an adequate air defence system at all. The AA guns weren’t enough in terms of quantity to protect the area. They were not enough to build a triangle anti-aircraft formation.

The only other response left for the SLAF was to send attack aircraft to shoot down the planes. The F-7s armed with Air-to-Air missiles were airborne 20 minutes after the Zlins had bombed. Later, Kfir and MIG 27s had bombed Iranamadu. One F-7 pilot has later said that he saw the planes passing below him. The 2D Radar system over Mulaitivu had also failed to locate the area where the plane had landed. In addition to this, parts of Trincomalee Town were still brightly lit during and after the raid, although a plan was put in place to create a total blackout in an emergency. The myth that the Zlins came to attack the Jetliner has also been busted by the fact that the ship was still at sea when the bombs struck. The target was definitely the structures inside the base that housed naval personnel.

Despite criticisms, some advances have been made in the country’s air defenses. The SLAF had advanced warnings by way of new radars on two successive occasions. The first warnings were issued before the ‘TAF’ attack at Anuradhapura. The level of response has also improved with a few aircrafts pursuing the Tigers within 20 minutes of the attack. But the intelligence has not improved and it is unlikely that it will in future.

Whether it is LTTE cadres who fly the planes or foreign mercenaries is now immaterial. What is required now is an actual downing of a Zlin without which no elaborate defenses would suffice.

dA and DW

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[1] SRI LANKA: How Strong are the Tigers, by Colonel R. Hariharan (retd.)

[3] “Military Advisory Groups and African Security: Privatized Peace Keeping” K. O’Brien, 1998, International Peace Keeping pp.98-105

[4] “Corporate Warriors: The Rise of the Privatized Military Industry and Its Ramifications for International Security” P.W. Singer, International Security, Vol. 26, No. 3. (winter, 2001-2002), pp. 186-220.

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