Thursday, February 12, 2009

The plight of the Human Rights Community

There is mass speculation regarding the number of civilians trapped inside LTTE areas. Human Rights groups who make a living out of such situations have claimed that 250-000 (MSF) to 300,000 (AI Report) civilians are trapped in these areas. How these organizations arrived at these figures is a mystery, or is it?

A careful observation of these agencies' information extraction process reveals that there is much to be desired in terms of their methodology for getting at the 'truth'. This is because the exact number of civilians trapped in those areas is not known even by the military. There has not been a census conducted in those areas in two decades. The Army's best guesstimates puts the number around 100,000 civilians at the most.

So how do these organizations gather their information?

When it comes to the collection of information from 'the other side', there has been a practice by these organizations, even diplomatic missions, of hiring or networking either directly or indirectly with Tamil nationals residing both in Colombo and in the Districts. This is based on the idea that they have better access and therefore better information about the Tamils in the said area.

The issue of natural bias is often overlooked as a result of high expectation for professionalism from the said officers. These networks are maintained by a 'local operation' meaning a small office/s maintained in Sri Lanka by a group of expatriates and their local employees. The major sources of these organizations are as follows:

  • Political affairs officers of embassies/High Commissions who rely on Tamil journalists from mainly the print media (Thinakkural etc)
  • Tamil nationals attached to NGOs/INGOs/UN agencies both at the head quarters and district level (ICRC, SLRC, Local 'Civil Society' and Human Rights Groups)
  • Tamil nationals attached to various Ministries (Ministry of Rehabilitation etc)
  • Expatriate staff of NGOs/INGOs/UN who meet randomly at Colombo's favourite watering holes (These expatriate officers disseminate information gathered through local staff)
  • Local officers/district staff obtain information through their own networks of Tamil journalists/Grama Niladhari etc. Some may have an opportunity to interview returning civilians.
  • Sinhala journalists who get tidbits from friends in the Military
There is however a serious problem with this methodology, particularly in the current context.

1. The area of contention has shrunk. One can cover the area under LTTE control with one's thumb on a map of Sri Lanka.
2. No rebel 'administration' exist, hence there cannot be accurate estimates even if they tried
3. Civilian and civil administration, interaction and communication systems within the area and connection to the outside world has ceased and replaced primarily by an LTTE Military communication system, which is naturally biased.
4. Returning civilians may have an 'idea' of the numbers displaced but it is by far inaccurate and limited to their immediate experience/individual networks/capacity.
5. Quality and capacity of the information gatherers and their methods are highly questionable. Many local journalists are part-time regional reporters and are untrained. Members of the networks providing ad hoc information are not trained professionals.
6. No scientific surveys are possible. Access to the areas under LTTE control, even the No FIRE ZONE is denied by the Tigers (though access to government IDP centers are allowed).

The repercussions of this failed systems of reporting on humanitarian conditions in the Vanni are numerous. These include:

1. 'Naming and shaming' the government based on inaccurate information backfires on the agencies themselves and their networks
2. Wide-spread animosity and antagonism towards functioning and sometimes useful civil society groups
3. Credibility and standards of practice of international humanitarian agencies get eroded
4. Defaming of Sri Lanka- defaming of a democratically elected government or its people supporting a military solution is sometimes tantamount to defaming the entire nation, particularly in the west
5. Based on the 'established credibility' of these agencies and their reports, international media continues to defame our nation and its right to defend itself
6. These falsifications strengthen the separatist ideology of the Diaspora pro-LTTE groups resulting in taxation of Tamils living in the west, self-immolation by misled individuals, diplomatic stand-offs (Indian Central Govt-Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka) and finally;
7. Strengthening the hand of Tamil ultra nationalists hell-bent on eternal perpetuation of hatred and subsequently a 'Round-2' of the fight.
8. Undue external interference in the conflict- The reports issued by these agencies put undue pressure on the state actor whereas it is the non-state actor that is holding the civilians against their will. In fact, thousands of Tamils attempting to reach government controlled areas at south Puthukudirippu were fired at (some killed) and subsequently driven out to Mathalang, general area north of Puthukudirippu recently.

It is therefore only natural for these agencies to now take stock of their methodologies, particularly in Sri Lanka. We would strongly urge them to do so and go as far as saying that we would even offer our services in reaching out for the truth.

dA & DW

1,328 comments:

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Peter said...

gladiator,

Now I am worried.

Peter said...

John,

Tamils want freedom to live in LTTE declared no fire zones (North and East) without being harassed by SL army.

Paul said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Peter said...

Dictating terms to tamils should not be done because they arent use to it because LTTE never did that.

Peter said...

John,

Not just blood also charred bodies, dont forget the ones who burned themselves for out elder brother VP.

Peter said...

John,

Sri Lanka has been using same strategy for 30 years as well. So here it goes, in your own words: "You have tried this strategy for over a generation. For no return but a river of blood."

Brave1 said...

John>


"Peace is going to come like it or not. It will affirm a united Sri Lanka with additional safeguards for the Tamil community."

This is what you said to Peter...these are not my words..
and since u said above I need to know...an answerer to my previous question...which u avoided!

If not...you need to ensure you don;t talk of things you don;t know....and add to the confusion...

gladiator said...

Pete

they had the freedom but most of them preferred to stay with sinhalies mmmmm y

Peter said...

gladiater,

So??? what is your point.

Peter said...

gladiator,

My parents have been living in their home, surrounded by Sri Lankan military for past two decades as well.

Why are men born in Hambantota and elsewhere still dying in Trinco?

Peter said...

Dont forget if you come here to this blog as oppose to my own blog and I dont answer your question you loose.

My blog is for my personal entertainment only despite my repeated pleas for visits.

Peter said...

On the other hand why are tamils born in Trinco and Mannar still dying in PTK?

Peter said...

They are leashed remember?

gladiator said...

Pete

There r many camps check points in south, tamils geing suspected checked.
but still they didnt want to go to LTTE declared safe zones N/E mmm mmm y

Brave1 said...

John,

Did u disappear?

I want an answere to the statement u made to Peter!

Why dou think Tamils needs special safeguards?

I love to know! Pleeesease....plesseeesee tell me ko...tell koooooooo

Paul said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
gladiator said...

pete,
Im talking about living not dyng..

Peter said...

No tamil living in their paradise Eealm lived in the west.

Peter said...

Nadeshan lives in paradise Eelam so is VP. In fact there's so much rush from overseas tamils to come live in paradise Eelam.

Paul said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Peter said...

SL army has nothing to do so for amusement they go shell and kill people. This in my opinion is wrong.

gladiator said...

pete,

[[Because Sri Lankan military will shell and kill them.]]

if SL mil shelling on them so hard how 250000 ppl servive in 150sq km there. i mean it just 150 RMBL shots for them

Brave1 said...

John...

No...here again you are side stepping my question?

U did said to peter that there would be additional safeguards...what made u say soo...

John...please....if you don;t know much about Tamil Aspiration...you need to read more before start a reckless banter....

Before what ever solution....there should be a common understanding about the problem.....since there can not be a solution for a "no problem".

Being a Minority doesn't deserve additional safeguards... why?

SO... I beleive u should retract u r statement u made to peter.."Peace is going to come like it or not. It will affirm a united Sri Lanka with additional safeguards for the Tamil community."

before any thing..... u need to ensure that u understand that we fought..this not because we wanted to give additional safeguards...we fought because we wanted to take out additional safeguard and privileges we have given to Tamils....

Actually John it is too late to start reading about the conflict...by the time u finish...match over...wooow

Peter said...

gladiator,

Bunkers.

And some do die.

Unknown said...

Rama's Update broadcasting now.. worth watching guys..

11 mortars found

gladiator said...

pete

[[ Have LTTE ever shelled and killed sinhalese or tamils?
Did all sinhalese and tamils leave SL? ]]

c thats y loved u unconditionally... a good reason

Peter said...

gladiator,

Those who can, did.

And almost all that I came across during the short stay in Colombo also wanted to leave.

People make survival decisions on risk ratio.

gladiator said...

pete,

[[ Bunkers. And some do die.]]

do SL army ask them to man those buns

gladiator said...

pete,
[[ People make survival decisions on risk ratio. ]]

then y those 250000 trapped in 150 sq km s surrounden & shelled by SL dont want to come out mmmmmm mmmmm mmmmm y

Peter said...

gladiator,

Have you ever seen a bunker?

People run into it when shells land around them.

They have it in almost every part of world that is under threat from long range projectiles.

gladiator said...

pete,,

A checmate .............

Still love you mmmmmah

Peter said...

gladiator,

Their risk ratio is either higher or same.

Sri Lankan military continuously bombs them and blocks supplies to shift balance of risk

Already a few thousand had decided that the risk of staying is worse than that of leaving.

Rest will make their own individual choices as well.

Peter said...

Did any Tamils or Sinhalese leave Sri Lanka before 1983? Name just one

Peter said...

Check is good, but not quite mate.

gladiator said...

pete,

[[ Rest will make their own individual choices as well.
]]

remaining the same with such a high risk ratio for ordinary ppl is far unlikely mate.

gladiator said...

pete,

Even if quality of life is better in western countries no Sinhalese or Tamil would ever leave as long as there's no security reasons to do so.
....................

wat security ... job securty??

gladiator said...

pete

remaining the same with such a high risk ratio for ordinary ppl is far unlikely mate.

I mean higly unlikly.

Peter said...

gladiator,

Everyone has their own tipping points.

Of course Sri Lanka will keep trying to increase risk of staying for the people.

My sister's family is still there. Knowing them, they will probably leave if north-east PTK falls. They are resolute not to leave their house.

Peter said...

Lol,

Fake actually thinks that survival tactic means dodging bombs and bullets alone.

Must be some child.

gladiator said...

ok pete

its time to start my project work..
tank u fo ur time

catch u later

velluprabhakaran said...

[[[Challenge is to make occupation as difficult as possible.]]]

the tamil civilians are gonna welcome sla soon. they'll be so happy to get rid of LTTE that they'll open up their legs wide screen. ha ha ha!

meanwhile u think about the challenge from outside & make plans. ha ha ha!

Sunil Koswatta said...

The government of Sri Lanka should immediately hire a reputed media consulting firm to handle its overseas counter-propaganda campaign. LTTE propaganda organizations have been in full swing last few days and this has to be countered immediately. The cost of hiring consultants should be considered as a part of the cost of war against LTTE.

Paul said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Peter said...

My sisters family would have to leave if PTK falls because by then family member fighting with LTTE would sadly would not be alive. So someone has to get money for vadai.

Peter said...

gladiator,

Good luck!

Peter said...

velluprabhakaran,

Born in Negombo Beach?

Peter said...

Double-O-Seven is looking for job?

gladiator said...

pete,

Im so sorry for ur sis familly traped in the war

but

its highly unlikely

Peter said...

gladiator,

You sound like a RAW agent.

Heard the same sentence from one of them about 20 years ago.

Peter said...

He said some additional stuff about her young children as well. Don't worry about those three now; they are adults.

Brave1 said...

John,

"I withdraw from the blog."

LOL...sound like a tactical withdrawal....man why do u have to sound so similar to LTTE pansies..

Little..compromise...man...we have already done enough compromises....our BRAVE HEART are doing enough compromises RIGHT NOW....by doing utmost to ensure ZERO CASUALTIES....they are dying serving meals to Tamils....isn't it enough?

Don't withdraw from this blog..not required...

velluprabhakaran said...

peter,

u got plenty more things to worry about at present than my birth place. ha ha ha!

Bhairav said...

[Brave1 said...
John...

No...here again you are side stepping my question?

U did said to peter that there would be additional safeguards...what made u say soo...

John...please....if you don;t know much about Tamil Aspiration...you need to read more before start a reckless banter....

Before what ever solution....there should be a common understanding about the problem.....since there can not be a solution for a "no problem".

Being a Minority doesn't deserve additional safeguards... why?

SO... I beleive u should retract u r statement u made to peter.."Peace is going to come like it or not. It will affirm a united Sri Lanka with additional safeguards for the Tamil community."

before any thing..... u need to ensure that u understand that we fought..this not because we wanted to give additional safeguards...we fought because we wanted to take out additional safeguard and privileges we have given to Tamils....

Actually John it is too late to start reading about the conflict...by the time u finish...match over...wooow

February 14, 2009 8:31 PM]




Excellent comment Brave1. Hit the nail right on the head there.

Infinity said...

Peter: Check is good, but not quite mate.

So what would could possible save the terrorists? Militarily they are defeated and only able to delay the inevitable by hiding behind civilians. Of whom several thousand are leaving each day.

The IC? Maybe you are hoping that the western nations for some reasons should decide that suicide terrorism and use of civilian shields should be rewarded and encouraged? Doesn't matter, Russia and China will never allow the UN to pass anything more than at most a symbolic resolution infringing on internal matters. This since they have problems with ethnic insurgencies themselves and want no precedents.

Maybe you are hoping that NATO will ignore this and decide to bomb Sri Lanka like Serbia? Really the only thing that can save the LTTE, even embargo will not be effective before the LTTE will be defeated as a conventional force and then all lies of genocide can no longer be sustained. Sorry, Western nations for all their rhetoric only intervene when it is strategically important, like if the country is in Europe or has oil. There were or are real genocides in Rwanda, Sudan, Cambodia, and Myanmar, and no one intervened when it occurred in these small and relatively unimportant nations.

Peter said...

Infinity,

You know the world well.

Brave1 said...

pottu,

I loved his "I withdraw from the blog." comment...

LOL

Bhairav said...

peeater
i heard they had a few vacancies in TN brothels. When PTK is captured your sisters gonna loose her customer base. Ask her to apply. Dont worry she wont gag, they're all tiny.

Rover said...

Folks, I have another article on my blogspot:

Smart Extremists

GOTA said...

The United Nations has accused the Sri Lankan military and Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) of recruiting child soliders.

The international body says thousands have been kidnapped from their villages and forced into the 25-year conflict.

The government says it has been taking steps to help child soldiers who were captured or surrendered on the battlefield.

David Hawkins reports from a rehabilitation centre in Ambepussa in central Sri Lanka. Rehabilitation road for Sri Lanka's child soldiers - Feb 14

Peter said...

Things not going so well for me today. Did I forget something?

Fruit basket! Here I come ganesh.

Brave1 said...

"Blogger Peter said...

Things not going so well for me today. Did I forget something?"

LOL...

don;t think u r the only one thinking...all who wanted LTTE to rule the N&E at least is feeling like that....

LOL

Rover said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Rover said...

Double-o-seven,

"LTTE propaganda organizations have been in full swing last few days and this has to be countered immediately. "

I second that. I don't mind if they are reporting the truth, but they are not. Some of the reporters are painting stories out of nothing as if they experienced what the refugees experienced themselves. Most of these reporters are very very mediocre people, with only a very little analytical ability or non at all. This is how they survive, but SL should not pay for their survival.

Unknown said...

Guys, looks like we are close enough to sniff the stink of Piraba.

So we can expect some real fireworks like self immolation, self destruct, self genocide, self implode.

The extreme racist Tamil factions in Tamil Nadu is biting the testticles and spitting like venomous vipers.

If it comes to the point that they succeed to mount enough pressure so that Piraba lives another day I say we should get China invovled more and get the yappers to shut up or get self fissioned.

I think there is already a chinese interest in Jaffana; a power supply project.

India is getting ready with it's own investment projects to secure a foothold on Sri Lanka.

I think we should see what our options are in this regard. We must get Piraba this time!

velluprabhakaran said...

sinhale,

sorry for not replying earlier. sure, we can do it together.

cheers!

Brave1 said...

GUYS..

there is report to say

VP and his CA is trapped in PUTHTU..

any one knows more..

Cheers.

JWick said...

""Peter said...

JWick,

Can't do. If you want an answer, ask again.""


Question was asked. You evaded. LOSER!!

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Is there a site to monitor PC election results?

Mahen said...

Hello Ladies, long time no see. What have moda chena boys and LTTE donkeys being doing in my absence? Hey Madams, see Ellalanforce blog for an exclusive scoop on the Downing Street protest that has just concluded.

http://ellalanforce.blogspot.com/

Brave1 said...

Sujeeva K

http://www.slelections.gov.lk/pro14022009.html

velluprabhakaran said...

at last. mahen.

peter must be happy. ha ha ha!

Colomblogs said...

Some Oppertunities we missed in past:
1). VP was trapped in Jaffna and he shot the Shankar and fled away.

2). VP was trapped in Wadamarachchi and Rajiv saved him

3). VP came to the news conference and we could find anyone to shell that place

4). Now again the pig is trapped all the signs are remain same as earlier. Shaall we bend to Colonial powers and and let him go and suffer few more decaded
OR
ජාත්‍යන්තර ප්‍රජා‍වට අම්..ට හු..ගන්න කියලා මූව ඉවරකරලා දානවද...?

velluprabhakaran said...

single,

let's go for the last option ammata.... ha ha ha!

Brave1 said...

ONLINE ELECTION RESULTS

http://www.slelections.gov.lk/pro14022009.html

Colomblogs said...

මචංලා පොඩි අදහසක්..
ජාත්‍යන්තර ප්‍රජාව සහ ඩිස්පෝරා කට්ටිය පනදාගෙන දඟලන්නේ හිරවෙලා ඉන්න මහ එකාව බේරගන්න මිසක් අහිංසක මිනිස්සුන්ට ආදරේට නෙමෙයි.

මේ බ්ලොග් එකේ ඉන්න කට්ටිය ජාත්‍යන්තර ප්‍රජාවට මේක පැහැදිලි කරන්න ෆැක්ට්ස් වලින් පිරිච්ච රිපෝට් සහ ප්‍රසන්ටේෂන් හදමුද?

1). එල්.ටී.ටී.ඊ එකේ බොරු ප්‍රචාරවල ඇත්ත තත්වය විස්තර සහිතව

2). සමාන්‍ය ජනතාව ගැන ඇත්ත තත්වය

3). මෙතුවක් කල් අපේ රජයවල් (රනිල් පී ඇතුලුව) මුන්ව සාමයට ගන්න කරපු උත්සාහයවල් සහ ඒ හැම අවස්තාවකම උන් ඒවා කාපු සහ මිස් යූස් කරපු හැටි.

4). ජෙනොසයිඩ් තියෙනවා නම් කොළඹ පුරා කොහොමද දෙමළ කට්ටිය අගේට ඉන්නේ එක ගැන

5). කොටි මර්ධනය කිරීම අනෙක් රටවල් ගෙනියන ත්‍රස්ත විරෝධී වැඩපිලිවෙලට වැදගත් වෙන්නේ ඇයි?

6). මුන් කරපු සුයිසයිඩ්, බෝම්බ ගැහිලි, සිංහල/මුස්ලිම් මිනිස්සුන්ව එත්නික් ක්ලෙන්සින් කරපු හැටි සහ අනෙක් ත්‍රස්තවාදී කල්ලි කොහොමද ඒවායින් ඉගෙන ගෙන දැන් ගහන හැටි‍‍

7). තවමත් කොටි ඇතුලුව වන්නි අයට කෑම, බෙහෙත්, පාසැල් වලට සල්ලි සහ ආධාර දෙන්නේ අපි. මුන් දෙමළ ජනතාවට සතපහක දෙයක් කරලා නැති වග
(උන්ගේ මුද්‍රනාල වලින් පාසැල් පොත් ගැහුවේ නෑ. අරූගේ පෝස්ටර් ගැහුවා විතරයි..)

මේවා සරළව (සුජීව සහ ආනන්ද වගේ දිගට නෙමේ. උන් දෙන්නාගේ අදහන් හොඳයි ඒත් දිග වැඩියි) පොයින්ට් ෆෝම් එකෙන් පුලුවන් නම් පවර්පොයින්ට් විදියට පින්තූර සහ සංඛ්‍යාලේඛන ඇතිව හදලා වටේට මේල් කරමු. පිටරට ඉන්න අය ඒ රටවල විදේශ අමාත්‍යාංශ සහ මාධ්‍ය ආයතනවලට යවමු.

බෝගොල්ලාගම වගේ කාලකන්නියෙක් සහ නිහාල් ජයසිංහ වගේ තානාපතිලා මේක කරන්නේ නෑ..අපිවත් ට්‍රයි එකක් දෙමුද...?

GOTA said...

IREAD with interest that Des Browne had been appointed special envoy to Sri Lanka by his pal, Gordon Brown.

Perhaps it would have been more appropriate to have appointed him special envoy to Kilmarnock and Loudon to serve the people he is supposed to represent?

This is a man who has had various jobs in the Government and has yet to be successful at any of them.

He does very little, if anything, for the people he was elected to look after, and is a shadow of our former MP, Willie McKelvie, who fought hard for the people of this district.

But is this just a case of lining Des up with a cushy number for the aftermath of the next election when he is run out of Kilmarnock by his shirt-tail?

J.Currie, Kilmarnock, Ayrshire
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/comment/your-letters/2009/02/14/letter-your-view-des-is-dire-86908-21122262/

gladiator said...

guys

can someone give me a link to Rama's new update..

kevin said...

The demo in No 10 just concluded over 50 thousand attended since 1PM braving the cold. We noticed some tiger spies lurking around in the pubs nearby,drinkig off the diasspora money as usual.

Mahen said...

Ladies,
Please do not forget to submit your comments.
You have asked us to be back. Therefore we do expect you to submit your experience too.

Now do not forget to see our update about London based group of pro GoSL supporters SLAT - UK event pictures amount LTTE life waster !!!

EFT
http://ellalanforce.blogspot.com/

Fonseka 2010 said...

all great sri lankan patriots

u can now visit my website

proflokubanda.wordpress.com

see u there

Isuru said...

there is no single post in this page regarding the war situ!!!
sigh
sf@lnp is dead i have no where to go for war updates.
only ares in sf@lnp come up with any meaningful war updates now.
both tamilnet and defencelk is silent meaning both parties are suffering heavy cusualties and are bogged down.

TropicalStorm said...

Single

There is no need to re-invent the wheel.
There is a ppt presentation developed here in the US which is available thru the embassy. You can contact them via slembassyusa.org.
I also have a copy, since I was part of the team that developed it during Amb. Bernard gunatilleke's days.
If you need a copy, email me at tstorm2007@gmail.com

TropicalStorm said...

pottu

minority needing additional safe-guards?

that's because when they can't kill others, or kill their own people, they commit suicide in public.{why can't they be nice abt it and do it in private?]

Fonseka 2010 said...

Hay

latest news updates

gladiator said...

ArmyLK

goodwork ..you can improve it up to professional level if u refer {tamilnet.tv}

Mahen said...

Armylk-
You have forgot to take EFT watermark off the pictures. Ha ha ha ha

Armylk Chena girls cannot work that out before using EFT based pictures. Hoo Hooo

All other Chena boyz can visit EFT site to know the truth.

http://ellalanforce.blogspot.com

gladiator said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Nisal said...

මචංලා,

එල්. එන්. පී එකේ එස්. එෆ්. ගේ ස්පේස් එක බැලුවද? ඒකේ තියන comments වලට අනුව ගිය සතිය අපිට ටිකක් අමරුයි වගේ.

Nisal said...

Why don't we give international publicity to these things (check the end of the video):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fEU3Wyvjhw8&feature=channel_page

Anonymous said...

Nisal

Its ares who said so. I believe him. LTTE leaders are trapped and they know its their death if SLA see them. So they use human shield and also fight/ resist at their maximum while diaspora working for ceasefire.

BTW, can you pls update slnews.info site? If possible try to include all posts from the beginning for DW and also for DN too. I don't know how time consuming is that.

I have a question for you. How possible it is to track a bolggers IP/identity using a comment here?

Nisal said...

Good place for Peter:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CDaLZGuQd90&feature=channel_page

Nisal said...

Ninja,

Sure macho, I'll update it.

perein said...

Nisal / Ninja,
What's the value of trying to mirror the dump of comments which are available under the blog?
More importantly if you started to show the bolggers IP/identity people might stay away from the blogs. I'm sure you do have the skills to do but

Please think again guys.

We do not want blogs to get fully killed.

Anonymous said...

Perein

You have a mis-understanding.

true srilankan said...

# LTTE terrorists attack bus carrying IDPs; mother of a Catholic priest killed - Pulliyankualam
Click here

# New security plan to stop LTTE’s resurgence
Click here

# Govt. to resettle Muslims in Jaffna
Click here

# Tiger lie exposed
Click here

# De-mining delay hampers resettlement
Click here

# General remanded on treasure hunting charge
Click here

perein said...

Ninja-
Sorry, If I've mis-understood what you guys trying to do.

But truly I hope you do undestand what my concern / comment too !!

DW / DN bloggers can do lot towards country. Let's protect those people's identity.

Moshe Dyan said...

guys,

above ground BS 'elders' home-underground vezapillai bunker was bombed yesterday by SLAF.

remember this???

the target may be the 'relocated' BS elders home cum vezapillai's manhole!!

that's why mathivathani was 'used' to inaugurate the 'elders home'. if another opened it when vezapillai is hiding under it, that would have been a disgrace for vezapillai.

Moshe Dyan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Moshe Dyan said...

genocide,

that is the exception.

MOST will be covered and thereafter an exception handling procedure can be done.

this was discussed here sometime back.

if we can cut the flow of information for the time being, that will do ALOT of good bcos civilian casualties MUST be expected. if bloody coward tigers come out of sarees and fight SLDFS directly, there would be no civilian casualties.

Moshe Dyan said...

muslims to be resettled in jaffna

this is one of the biggest requests we have been making for a LONG TIME amidst STIFF resistance.

another dream come true!!

let this ONLY be the START of a MASSIVE "ethnic integration" campaign that will change the mono-ethnic north FOREVER!

vanni offers MORE opportunities.

Brave1 said...

New security plan to stop LTTE’s resurgence

http://www.nation.lk/2009/02/15/news24.htm

I m happy...I am happy

I know all that is required is being considered...nothing is left for us to worry....

Good work...

More Special Forces
More Commandos
More Bases
More SFHQs

..and more APC

Fantastic....

Nisal said...

perein,

There is no way to get bloggers IP or identity. slnews doesn't have any thing other than publicly available information. It is searchable. That is the only difference.

Brave1 said...

LONG LIVE the need to fuck LTTE and even seeds of LTTE!

LONG TERM DETERRENCE against LTTE forms...is the new thing we need to discuss... what should it be...

By the way.... VP and CA in PUTHU is confirmed or Black Tiger giving us BS?

Ananda-USA said...

PINK PANTIES for PINK TIGERS?

The Cowardly (Pink?) Tigers are hiding behind CIVILIAN HUMAN SHIELDS.

How about organizing a drive to send these PINK TIGERS an avalanche of PINK PANTIES? If not the Tigers, let us send them to their proxies in Colombo led by Ranil W. :)

Indian women are sending PINK PANTIES to the RAM SENA (see below)!

Sene office flooded with panties

HUBLI: Sri Ram Sene activists are now facing the wrath of women for opposing Valentine’s Day celebrations.

As a mark of their anger against the Sene and its chief Pramod Muthalik, women and girls across the country have sent parcels of pink panties by courier to the Sene office in Hubli.

A consortium of Pub-Going, Loose and Forward Women of social networking had invited the women to send pink panties to the Sene office to register their protest, even as Sene activists dared the women of this consortium to send the panties to them by issuing the address of their Hubli office in a section of the press.

Parcels kept pouring into the Sene office all through the day. The parcels came mainly from Punjab, Rajasthan, Mumbai, Bangalore and Kerala.

Almost all courier services delivered parcels.

Krishna Gandgalekar, Karnataka state convenor of Sri Ram Sene, told to The New Indian Express that the Sene earlier planned to donate the panties to orphanages but has now decided to burn them as many of them carry vulgar slogans.

“I am really ashamed of these women who stooped to such low levels. It will not deter us. We will send saris to these women,” he said.

Brinda : Ban Ram Sene

A strong demand was made in the Rajya Sabha on Friday to proscribe organisations like the Sri Ram Sene, which have been indulging in moral policing in Karnataka and threatened to disrupt the Valentine’s Day celebrations on Saturday, PTI reports from New Delhi Raising the matter during zero hour, Brinda Karat(CPM) said that the Sene has threatened to marry off young girls found in the company of boys on Valentine’s Day. She cited the recent instance of a girl committing suicide, allegedly after being humiliated in Bangalore, for moving around with a Muslim boy.

Karat also said that the daughter of a CPM MLA was abducted and threatened in Karnataka, where the Sene has acquired the role of the ‘Hindu twin’ of Taliban. She alleged that the Sene is in connivance with the BJP Government in the state, which had witnessed an attack on a pub recently. Describing the incidents as a ‘slap’ on the face of democracy, she demanded that the Centre should take steps to ensure safety of young people on the Valentine’s Day.

Brave1 said...

Seems Like another great night...great morning unfolding with election results...

75% in Dambulla for UPFA...woow..mind boggling...

Must be lots of ballot box stuffing...LOL

Guys do u know the reason...LOL

More Black Russian to flow...i am immortalizing(these days this is the word - LOL) the tummy worms...

Cheers.

Brave1 said...

MATALE - IS OURs >>>>>

with more than 60% going for UPFA

all counttings are over.

Lalith Kuruwita said...

UNP has done really well not to be 3rd place in the Provincial elections.

Nisal said...

RANIL W., PLEASE RESIGN AND LET UNP TO ASSIGN A PATRIOTIC LEADER.

PIRAPAHARAN IS DESTROYING SRI LANKAN TAMIL COMMUNITY AND RANIL IS DESTROYING UNP.

Brave1 said...

நிசல் - Nisal,

"RANIL W., PLEASE RESIGN AND LET UNP TO ASSIGN A PATRIOTIC LEADER."

Reforming UNP is not a need...keeping this initiative of fucking all forms of LTTE (current and future)on track in to future is the need....UNP has been pathetic in the past 20 years on being patriotic....so...I don;t believe UNP can be salvaged and brought to the lime light...

If that is going to happen the out come is not UNP...LOL

On the other hand the best reward we can give to RW for CFA is to have him as the UNP Leader for ever and ever..and let him savor the results of CFA....LOL

LOL

Cheers.

Brave1 said...

On the other hand...

UNP doesn;t know where r they going.....

They say they going to Provincial Council Victory...but in fact they are going to the dust bin.... (recall RK's comment on going to Killinochchi)

LOL

This is going to be there permanent CARD....

LOL

Cheers.

Brave1 said...

Now..now..now

Who is going to give nominations to western provincial council elections.....

ant one..please..wants to taste the fine taste of defeat...

Remind me the start of film "Troy"

Achilles comes and finish off the big guy from the other side...and then goes to the other side's line and and ask...any more....

LOL


Cheers

Brave1 said...

Now..now..now

Who is going to give nominations to western provincial council elections.....

any one..please..wants to taste the fine taste of defeat...

Remind me the start of film "Troy"

Achilles comes and finish off the big guy from the other side...and then goes to the other side's line and and ask...any more....

LOL


Cheers

Brave1 said...

Now..now..now

Who is going to give nominations to western provincial council elections.....

ant one..please..wants to taste the fine taste of defeat...

Remind me the start of film "Troy"

Achilles comes and finish off the big guy from the other side with one swift move...and then goes to the other side's line and and ask...any more....

LOL


Cheers

Brave1 said...

Sorry for multiple postings...last one is the improved one...

sorry...sorry

sorry frnds...I cant delete.... my setting r different and i don;t want tot change the settings...

:(

Anonymous said...

Who is blaming UNP and RW? They got the second place.. is that bad..? hik hik

Brave1 said...

NINJA...


YEAH...YEAH..second place is fantastic...wonderful...good win...

They won in fact...

since...may be their design is to be number 2....they never wanted to be number 1....and hence they won...

If they wanted they would have been number 1...then that's a defeat...(wanting to be number 1 and getting number 2)

Lalith Kuruwita said...

I believe we need UNP with RW as leader and Mangala, Jayalath etc supporting them. This would show all Sri lankans how much they are unpatriotic.

Otherwise people do not undestand the difference between Patriotic & unpatriotic.

Anonymous said...

RW is a great leader. All UNP supporters must respect him. He never let UNP go down from the second place in any election. Did ever MR could put UNP in to third or fourth place..? No. So this time also UNP got the second place and its great victory. HIK HIK

Karunabudhi said...

UNP got the second place with no challenge. :D:D:D:D:D:D:D
There's no other party to challenge UNP for the second spot. ha ha ha

Karunabudhi said...

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Is there a site to monitor PC election results?


you can check results here.....

http://www.slelections.gov.lk/index.html

Moshe Dyan said...

ninja and others,

no doubt URINE-PEE has suffered a humiliating defeat. but voters turnout is in the 60s. the remaining 15% to 20% would be MOSTLY URINE-PEEs. so in a national election, the gap would be much less.

IF the govt is pinning hopes on PC elections to get a BIG lead in the next general election, that won't work. they will win but still would be unable to change this stupid constitution.

there should be another plan. also the GE should be held b4 the tide turns!!! the economic timebomb is ticking. ppl will not fogive for a bad economy. also i hope the govt will not get too unreachable after these petty election wins.

Ananda-USA said...

UNCOMMON BRAVERY OF OUR SONS OF LANKA

Uncommon bravery

"57-4 Brigade was able to capture the upper area of Udayarkattukulam tank and eliminate the LTTE’s obstructions to the advancing forces.

This was also the main and final obstacle facing the SF, on their forward march to Pudukudyiruppu. The 8th Infantry Regiment under Lt. Col. Ipshitha Dissanayaka, coming under the 57-4 Brigade under Lt. Col. Senaka Wijesuriya, overcame this challenge within 48 hours and advanced about 1.5 kilometres.

The operation that commenced at about 6.15 am on Monday (9), to break down the defence line of bunkers and trenches in an area of about one kilometer, continued till night.

The SF marched across this area with an open stretch of about 300 metres, despite the LTTE’s intense gunfire.
The following day (10), the advancing Infantry Regiments, with the help of the armoured cars, captured the entire area. Seventeen terrorists had been killed in confrontations on the first day.

Cpl Wijeratne of the Delta team of the 8th Infantry Regiment was promoted Sgt and LCpl Disanayaka as Cpl in the battlefield itself, by the Brigade Commander, for the leading role played by the two men in the entire operation.

59 Brigade under Brig. Nandana Udawatta was proceeding from Pudukudyiruppu East and from the direction of Mullaitivu.
The military defence line, which had been strategically pulled back three kilometers, during the short-lived LTTE offensive on January 31, has now been restored by the valiant forces.

The 7th GW under Lt. Col. Chaminda Lamahewa faced the brunt of the Tiger assault that day. However, the officers and soldiers of the regiment fought till the very end.

However, 33 military personnel including Maj. Kamal Nanayakkara laid down their lives during the battle. When intense fighting erupted, Cpl Pushpakumara requested his senior officers to fall back with the remaining men, while he went forward, armed with claymore mines and blasted himself among the enemy.

“Sir, you all move back with the others, and let me die with them,” he had told his fellow men, before carrying out the daring deed. There were many valiant men among the forces, during this major counterattack by the LTTE.

The LTTE’s attempt to push back the military defence line to Oddusudan, by deploying suicide attackers and combat groups, was foiled by the Special Forces Squadron under Maj. Kosala Wijeratne. He led his squad, determined to fight to the last soldier. Maj. Gen. Jagath Dias who supervised the battle, praised him then and there, for his battlefield prowess.

Meanwhile, a group of LTTE cadres attempting to enter the area through the Pudukudyiruppu-Oddusudan road, using an armour plated truck, was foiled by the 1st VR. The terrorists came under RPG and armoured car fire, and 25 of them were killed in the confrontation. Later, the SF recovered the bulletproof truck, along with their bodies and weapons."

Ananda-USA said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ananda-USA said...

A Few More Details of Last Week's Fighting & Troop Deployments

LTTE Blitzkrieg foiled in Mullaitivu
Survivors narrate horror tales of jungle escape
Ranga Jayasuriya
"By the end of last week the security forces reached the borders of the 32 square kilometer safe zone and boxed it. Tiger cadres retreated, while others offered pockets of resistance. As the guerillas abandoned bunkers and checkpoints, civilians began to head to the military controlled areas. Majority of the civilians who arrived were residents of Suganthanpuram and Udayakattukulam, two villages which fell into the hands of the troops last week. As civilians trickled into the military controlled area, the scale of the humanitarian tragedy taking place in the Wanni is revealed— according to government statistics, 34, 629 civilians have moved to government controlled areas by Friday.
But, while retreating, guerrillas forced civilians towards the coast the government announced a new safe zone of 12 square kilometers of the coastal belt.
The International Committee of Red Cross (ICRC) evacuated two batches of wounded treated in the makeshift hospital in Putumattalan.
Harrowing tales of men and women, fleeing, leaving behind dead relatives on the ground in order to escape to the cleared areas have revealed the plight of civilians who languish away from the media limelight. In one instance, an old man told reporters that a group of 500 people fleeing the Tiger held pocket were fired on by the guerrillas.
The people heading towards government controlled areas came across two female Tiger cadres. The two cadres did not prevent the people from moving out, but told them to wait for sometime till they finished their shift. Civilians could walk to the government controlled area when sentries swap positions, saving the two female cadres from trouble, they said. Civilians did as they were told, but were fired upon by another group of LTTE cadres, when they were crossing, killing 19 of them. The old man who narrated this story lost his four- year- old child who succumbed to gunshot injuries.

Proceeding

On another occasion, civilians hacked to death three LTTE border guards after they tried to prevent civilians from proceeding to the military controlled area.
Yesterday, a bus transporting civilians came under small arms fire and a grenade attack in Puliyankulam, killing a woman and injuring 13 others. Suspected Tiger cadres attacked the bus which was transporting the IDPs from Kilinochchi to transit centres in Vavuniya in the wee hours of Saturday.
There is increasing evidence to suggest that the LTTE is manoeuvering through the effective use of terror to discourage the public from fleeing the guerrilla held pocket.
Last week’s suicide explosion is part of this strategy - however, there are also concerns as to whether several cadres disguised as civilians infiltrated the military controlled area during the chaos in the aftermath of the suicide blast.

Suicide blast

Military officials say the troops had been following a ‘relaxed’ procedure in admitting civilians to government controlled areas. Civilians were allowed to pass the checkpoint after a routine body check and the rest of the security procedures were conducted while the civilians were provided with seating arrangements and were being fed. The suicide blast which killed ten civilians and 20 soldiers has compelled the security forces to beef up security precautions and IDPs who walked for days now will have to wait hours in queues for security checks before being cleared.
The strategic logic of the LTTE tactic is self-evident: the heavy presence of IDPs delay the military advance and make the long range guns of the army redundant. The LTTE has already succeeded creating a humanitarian tragedy and bringing it to international attention. As seen in the determined resistance to the advancing troops, the LTTE is planning to prolong the war. Hence humanitarian conditions are set to deteriorate further and the guerrillas expect it would compel an international interference, which would culminate in a ceasefire.
Military officials say the troops pushing into the remnants of the Tiger controlled pocket were coming under stiff resistance. They say that the guerrillas fight was not to stop, but to delay the military advance.
Last week, the 59 Division— which withstood a massive counter attack the week before-repulsed another daring guerrilla effort to infiltrate the forward defence line. An armoured plated bus broke through the forward defene line, taking offguard a soldier assigned to operate a Recoilless Gun (RCL). However, a Main Battle Tank spotted the bus and engaged it, killing 16 Tiger cadres on board the bus. Military officials confide that the aborted guerrilla bid aimed to launch an attack on the security forces FDL from the rear. They believe that a frontal attack would have been planned in order to exploit the opportunity offered by the attack from the rear.

Stiff resistance

The forward defence line of the 59 Division and Task Force 4 runs two km southward from the Puthukudrippu -Mullaitivu road. The Tiger cadres are putting up stiff resistance to the advancing troops, which has prompted the Commander of the Army, Lt General Sarath Fonseka to form a fresh offensive division — Task Force 8, which will be commanded by Colonel G.V.Ravipriya and will be deployed east of the Mullaitivu lagoon.
Further north, the 55 Division is advancing southwards on the coastal belt. Last week, security was beefed up on this coastal belt as the Directorate of Military Intelligences (DMI) warned of a possible sea borne attack on the flank of the 55 Division. New missile systems have been deployed to target sea Tiger boats following these reports.
Military officials said that the nerve centers of LTTE’s military infrastructure were located in the area from Taravikulam to Mullaivu on both north and sough of the A 35 road. Last week, troops captured a printing press, motor factory, vehicles and long range mortars.
Military officials confided that some cadres were fleeing the LTTE-at least 40 guerrillas had mingled with civilians to flee the Wanni. One female cadre who arrived at the military controlled area with her family has said that she herself shot her foot in order to avoid being dispatched to the front line. She had been sent to hospital and later discharged. She later joined her family members fleeing to the military controlled area.

Opt to live with the LTTE

But, there is another segment of the Wanni population who would opt to live with the LTTE: Maveerar families and families who have active LTTE cadres. They will be the last to leave, if they do it ever!.
The LTTE though reduced to 700-1000 cadres are not letting up. However, with Tiger territory shrinking, the army has kept another Division on reserve role: It is the 57 Division whose final target, the capture of the Karavikulam junction was accomplished last week. This Division would function as a reserve in the general area of Vishwamadu and Kilinochchi.
Task Force 4, Task Force 8, 59 Division and 53 Division are operating in the South of Puthukudurippu. On the north of A 36 road, 58 and 55 Divisions are pushing southward. The pressure on the security forces defence line in south of Puthukudurippu is mounting as the LTTE is pressed between the two columns of soldiers.
The LTTE strategy, military officials confided, is to break through the defence line south of Puthukudurippu and retreat to the jungles. If the LTTE succeeds, it would create an operational nightmare for the troops, who would have to clear the Iranamadu jungle from scratch."

Anonymous said...

MD

Voter turn out is 60% and this is typical for PC elections. It is around 70% for general elections and remaining 10% is mostly floating voters not UNPers.

MR should go for remaining PCs, make the tide big and go for PE or GE.

Lalith Kuruwita said...

RW looks like John MaCains

Lalith Kuruwita said...

Is there any effect on JVP by Wimal's group departure?

Ananda-USA said...

Iranamadu Tank Bund Sabotage Plot Details

PATRIOTS,
We, at DW, were the first to anticipate and alert MOD/SLA of the possibility of the Iranamadu Tank Bund being blasted. I guess, at least in this, we have been of some real assistance to our country.

Here are more details of the attempt to blast the Iranamadu Tank Bund after the Kamalamadu Tank Bund was blasted.

Apparently, a Sea Tiger Attack on marooned soldiers was the follow-up phase of the attack on the Iranamadu Tank Bund.

Expect more dirty tricks by the LTTE in the future...keep thinking!

Plot to Blast the Iranamadu Tank

"The troops attached to the 571 Brigade under the command of Lt. Colonel Harendra Ranasinghe could avert a massive disaster on January 28, 2009 as they could detect two Black Tiger cadres who were roaming around the massive Iranamadu tank just few days after the LTTE exploded the Kalmadukulam tank.

Revelations: Initially they claimed that they had arrived there to surrender to the Security Forces but later accepted that they had arrived there for a suicide mission to explode the Iranamadu tank bund. Kanakasuthasan Suthas alias Shanker and Thillainathan Thivakaran alias Thamil Alai have made surprising revelations to the Security Forces. These shocking revelations by these two Black Tiger cadres ‘Shanker’ and ‘Thamil Alai’ confirm the fact that the LTTE had more terror plans in their hand to reverse the Security Forces victories even at the last moment.

According to latest revelations by these two Black Tiger cadres the LTTE had planned to explode Iranamadu tank bund after the fall of Kilinochchi to reverse the victories of the Security Forces in Kilinochchi as they have been totally frustrated following their defeat in Kilinochchi.

According to these two Black Tiger cadres attached to the Gangai Amarn squadron of the Sea Tiger wing which trains Sea Tigers for underwater missions, they have been briefed about their mission by Charles Anthony the elder son of Prabhakaran who is handling the IT unit of the LTTE in Visuamadu on January 23. Sea Tiger Special leader Soosai and Dinesh Master from Gangai Amaran Squadron have also been there when Charles Anthony briefed them about his plans to blast the Iranamadu tank bund. They have been taken to Visuamadu in an intercooler pajero from Mullaitivu where they had their basic training prior to their mission.

They have been trained to swim more than 10 kilo metres at a stretch.

Before they were taken to Visuamadu and prior to their training ‘Shanker’ and ‘Thamil Alai’ had a dinner with Tiger leader Prabhakaran in December in an unknown destination along with another set of Black Tiger cadres assigned for various other missions. According to the revelations of these Black Tiger cadres they have been served with mutton and string hoppers for their dinner at an unknown location. They have been selected for this mission as they have participated at the mission to hijack Farah II ship in the Mullaitivu seas. Charles Anthony had explained his plan to the Black Tiger cadres through a computer presentation. They have studied each and every part of the Iranamadu tank before preparing this master plan. They have studied the sluice gates, depth and the capacity of the Iranamadu tank and the extent of area that may submerge following the explosion of the tank bund. They have also identified the high grounds that may not be submerged in the floods and pointed out those places as the places to which troops would gather to escape from floods.

They have been asked to explode the tank bund at a depth of 20 feet to cause maximum damage. The two Black Tiger cadres who arrived there through the jungle patches in Mullaitivu have been provided with claymore mines, diving kits, chargers and satellite phones to carry out their mission.

They have been asked to inform the Sea Tiger leader about the time they were going to explode the Iranamadu tank bund to carry out the second phase of it. Charles Anthony and Soosai had estimated that 5,000 soldiers would die in the floods that would result following the blast of Iranamadu tank bund and the flood waters would remain for more than five days after the explosion.

Deploy: It could submerge entire Kilinochchi district up to Pooneryn and some parts of the Jaffna peninsula. Sea Tiger special leader Soosai had explained how he is going to deploy more than 300 Sea Tigers in floods in search of the marooned soldiers. The Sea Tiger leader Soosai had planned to launch some 50 boats soon after the explosion of the Iranamadu tank to attack the marooned soldiers.

The LTTE made use of this tactic when LTTE exploded the Kalmadukulam Tank bund two weeks back but failed in their endeavour as troops reacted to that situation without any confusion. But one thing went wrong with the LTTE though the LTTE had carried out reconnaissance missions they have not come across Security Forces presence at the Iranamadu tank bund.

The two cadres who had arrived there at the Iranamadu tank have faced a difficult situation due to the presence of the Security Forces. The Tiger leaders never expected the troops to be on high alert as they have been instructed to increase the security in Iranamadu tank after Kalmadukulam incident.

Apart from this incident the Tiger cadres have also made startling revelations about the Sea Tiger wing. According to these two black Tiger cadres the Sea Tigers have experimented one of their small submarines in Nanthikadal lagoon few months back and increased their underwater capabilities. They have also divulged that ten more Black Tiger cadres have been trained with them for underwater missions.

Drains: But all their terror plans to reverse the military victories of the Security Forces, went in drains due to the vigilance of the Security Forces. This terror plan divulged by the captured Black Tiger cadres very clearly indicates the desperation of the LTTE at this stage. These revelations by the two Black Tiger cadres confirm few important facts. One is that Tiger Leader Velupillai Prabhakaran and his elder son are still living among the civilians in Puthukuduyiruppu and are engaged in making more and more terror plans to reverse the military victories.

What they want at this moment is only to reverse the Security Forces victories at any cost. They have no iota of respect for human lives at this moment. Therefore, it is inevitable that the LTTE would come out with terror plans of this nature in the coming days when they are going to face its certain defeat.

Therefore, the entire nation should wake up to this moment by keeping on vigilance about this situation to make the efforts taken by the Security Forces a more fruitful one without allowing the LTTE to foil that at the last moment."

GutiKewa - ගුටි දෙනවා said...

SF has already formed TASK FORCE 8.

"The Tiger cadres are putting up stiff resistance to the advancing troops, which has prompted the Commander of the Army, Lt General Sarath Fonseka to form a fresh offensive division — Task Force 8, which will be commanded by Colonel G.V.Ravipriya and will be deployed east of the Mullaitivu lagoon."

WOW.

onceinawhile said...

Duzz,

Thanks mate. Now I can read your comments.

Brave1 said...

Guys...

I believe this is a fair representation of the SL mind set right now...

...and though 10-15% has not voted.....that would be same for general election too...i don;t think our voting percentage has gone above 80% during Gen election.

So..no big worries...but we need to prevail....

Economic time bomb...the general business expectation is to see the economy taking off around JUNE JULY...and I believe it would...

Many..Many investors wants to put their money in a place where there is prospect..and..they could invest very very little in SL. And their little is very very big for us. So with settle war situation and almost complete dominance of political lanscape...the economic climate will follow.... naturally.....

This a good expectation of the event to follow...but we need to continue to contribute to foster the excellent political climate whihc will lead to excellent business climate..and rest is natural...

Cheers Mate...

By the way...any one form Kandy...

I knew Kandy is full of Pansies..and I have so many Pansy looking Cousins in Kandy...LOL...and now I know they are not alone in Kandy...so many..Pansies...LOL

Moshe Dyan said...

ninja,

"Voter turn out is 60% and this is typical for PC elections.

yes; except a few.

"It is around 70% for general elections and remaining 10% is mostly floating voters not UNPers."

no; it is about >75% . floating voters DID vote this time as well.

what i say is the MOST of those did not vote are UNP voters; they gave up b4 the election!!!

almost all government supporters did their duty by going to the polling booth and casting their vote.

i doubt the tide will become BIGGER by every election. it does the other way round (PE or GE followed by a PCE).
it also works when the margin is not so wide. (e.g. 1993-->94). but when the margin is so large, it can well go the other way.

another bad thing is there were no SIGNIFICANT newcomers for the government in ALL PC elections so far. this is worrying. UNP already had a few, though lost. remember EVEN SB never contested from the UNP b4!!

the WPC and SPC elections may also bring NEW STRONG UNP faces.

these facts should humble the govt to WORK HARDER.

Moshe Dyan said...

brave1,

no, at national elections voter turnout reaches >75%!!!

this is a HUGE difference.

refer my answer to ninja.

but i agree that this election outcome is a GOOD reflection of the public support for UPFA and UNP (and JVP - lol!). the outcome will not change in the short run. it is the PERCENTAGE that may change.

Moshe Dyan said...

BTW a GE is due by end of this year. (less than a year away!!)

CBK dissolved the parliament early feb 2004.

early 2004 + 6 = early 2010. the govt can call it early, but not late. (actually the pres can but i don't think he will).

a PE is NOT due and given the fact that a pres can only hang on to power for a max 2 years, it is not like that a PE will be held soon.

late 2005 + 6 = late 2011.

1978+6=1982
1982+6=1988
1988+6=1994

only exception,
1994+5 (not 6) = 1999
CBK was going downhill and she knew it!!!

Unknown said...

landslide victory for SLFP.

Brave1 said...

MOSH,

I'll dig into Election data and will come back to u before I say I agree or not...

One thing is clear form this..is that the level of stability the government is going to enjoy in the near term..

..and that is good for Business...and economy...and since we also have a strong Head of GOV...so I believe all this talk about economic melt down will not come around...

If that the case...I believe the GEN Election will be around October....when enough has gone into...
1. N&E development
2. N&E is stable for an election and wounds are healed
3. Economy is running
4. Pansies are tired of being defeated..and will be thin of cadre
5. IC will be with MR

...and then...GEN Election would be another cake walk...

GutiKewa - ගුටි දෙනවා said...

Does anyone knows where Task Force 5, 6 and 7 are deployed?

Obviously they are defense divisions.

What do you think guys?

Moshe Dyan said...

brave1,

of course the UPFA is going to win the next GE (unless something very dramatic happens).

but the problem is the PERCENTAGE and the NUMBER OF SEATS.

i propose that the govt should bring constitution amedments (that favours patriotic governments and works against other ones, reduces or cancels seperatist parties, etc.) soon and threten UNP/JVP/TNA to hold snap elections UNLESS they support it.

if a MP stay in parliament for > 5 years, bugger gets a pension!! there are MANY such buggers in the JVP/TNA and some in UNP. even those buggers will PERSONALLY support such a move if their party does not!!!

strike when the iron is hot.

at a GE, govt can NEVER get more than 55% of the vote, mark my word. even RP in 1989 and JRJ in 1977 got less.

things that you mentioned has LITTLE to do with a turnaround in the economy.

1. the global economic problems
2. the bad 2008/09 tourist season
3. VERY high welfare expenses

are going to hit the country in months AHEAD.

economic revival takes more than one year after the war. it is a long term thing. govt cannot epect its fruit by the next GE.

hemantha said...

I think the parliament will be dissolved in this April or before. Sooner the better for pres. Rajapaksha.

Anonymous said...

MD

Analyzing election results is always complicated and hence often used as one's desire to mislead public.

# When compare we need to

1. differentiate the election (PC, GE, PE etc).
2. Consider the added registered voters
3. Actual votes
4. Percentage
5. Trend and the political situation at the time of election

Your point is taken; MR/SLFP should not think every thing is right, they will win any later elections... like that. They need to work hard.

GSL must use this democratic decision given by public, specially under 'no indecent - clean' election certificates given by NGOs to neutralize IC pressure.

Brave1 said...

MOsh,

What I mentioned is the overall potential climate that's going to be there...

But the Business Comminuty is expecting an ease up from June-Jully AND I believe it will be the case...

Global Tourism has not much of an effect on SL...most of the tourist who were coming were neither rich nor spending..so...we were basically poor foreigners vacation destination (100USD for 5star room)...so... with war being over...we...could upgrade our self and even if few tourists come in we could charge good USD 300USD for a 5 star room. when u consider that even with 1/3 tourist arrival we are at pre-2006 figures...in revenue...

And investor climate will be fantastic with...
1. new areas to market
2. strong gov
3. strong leadership
4. stability through eradication of LTTE
as such there would good amount of investment coming...and these would be quality investment unlike before...

More Local productivity..
1. New areas to cultivate
2. new farmers

So I believe even if the cost of differed expenses are going to hit us during the post war situation...even the near economic situation will ease up..and help..the GOV to win...

Lalith Kuruwita said...

White vans abductions are done by LTTP. It was proved by the white van found by SLA few days ago.

Moshe Dyan said...

brave1,

100% agree.

hope the govt will have the long term perspective in mind.

ninja,

yes; in fact i think the whole point of stagerred elections was to keep the IC at bay. they can clearly see that at many stages of the war ppl CONTINUED to support the govt. (especially at decisive stages).

hemantha,

agree.


i'm a little worried about some hard workers from the UNP like samarasinghe, rambukwella, moragoda, etc., etc.
their traditional voters may not vote for SLFP. so the govt should plan the GE to maximise the support where enough support is there for them as well.

GE should not be too long after winning the war.

also i hope the CWC, UPF, SLMC will either contest with the UNP or alone. (they also want a seat for the bonus seat geerally in ampara and n-eliya PLUS a few national list seats). they anyway join the govt so no point in taking them in at the election. UPFA should field OWN bastards from these communities instead.

EPDP should be helped to SWEEP the north, if not UPFA. other unstable jokers should NEVER be trusted. one 'ministership' is enough to keep EPDP happy and they have other benefits too.

getting UPFA undercover guys to contest from the UNP is another good thing. after the election they can cross over when the time is right.

if the constitution cannot be changed b4 the GE, govt should try to get as close as possible to 150 (or more) seats with its wellwishers.

thambapanni said...

මෙන්න මෙහෙමනෙ සුද්දට කතාකරන්න ඕනෙ..

http://www.dailymirror.lk/DM_BLOG/Sections/frmNewsDetailView.aspx?ARTID=40581

ඇයි අපේ මැති ඇමති ගොල්ල ඉස්සර මෙහෙම කතා නොකරෙ ? ‍ඒ දවස් වල සුදු මහත්තුරුන්නට පස්ස පැත්ත offer කරන එක ඇරුනම වෙන වැඩක් තිබ්බෙම නෑනෙ.
කොහොම හරි දැන්නම් කොන්ද කෙලින් තියං මෙන්න අපෙ රටේ ඇමතියෙක් කියල කට ඇරලා කියන්න පුලුවන්.

ඔහොම යං. තව ටිකයි..

බුදු සරනයි !

Ra said...

Bruice Fein in action


හොදට ලියන්න පුලුවන් කෙනෙක් මෙකට දෙන්නකො උත්ත‍රයක්!!!

Brave1 said...

Mosh,

Thinking of it,,,,

The best ever decision on Development in near future has to fight the LTTE to the finish...

This was reflected in Nivard Cabraal Hard Talk discussion...do u remember...

What do u think

LOL!

DoDo said...

Pana eith, Kondak ethi Gamey miniha Konda nethi Colomba ponnayata aayeth P***ariya

This is called the massacre of the Ponnaya!

Aiyyo Pau!

DoDo said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
sanercomic said...

Brave1,

Development should happen on Micro Level, enterprise expansions, so the lower segments of the society will be able to see quick benefits.

Obviously the War should finish as the first step, but development work should not wait and my personal opinion is major economic revival would take time along with world economics.

We are running a dedicated blog discussing the economic development of mother lanka and you are most welcome to make some comments there as well.

Serendipity

DoDo said...

My sympathies to Ponnaya.

This kind if Serial Pukeyarization of Ponnaya must be very devastating

NOLTTE=Peace said...

Double-O-Seven said...

The government of Sri Lanka should immediately hire a reputed media consulting firm to handle its overseas counter-propaganda campaign. LTTE propaganda organizations have been in full swing last few days and this has to be countered immediately. The cost of hiring consultants should be considered as a part of the cost of war against LTTE.


I second this 100%. Yes, it would require shedding some $$, but would worth to the Penny.

We can not handle the scale of anti-Sri Lankan false propaganda unleashed by LTTE at this critical moment.

NOLTTE=Peace said...

Correction!


"We can not handle the scale of anti-Sri Lankan false propaganda unleashed by LTTE at this critical moment, without the help of a professional PR body.

Moshe Dyan said...

sanecomic & brave1,

i think it is better to wait till the war is over.

SL "newly" added about ten thousand of sq kilometres of land and a thousand kilometres of coastline.

only israel did so apart from SL!!

so these should be put to good use according to a plan. as vellu said food production is THE MOST important thing. and we have all the required things for that. requires little capital for a start. once things are running, capital generation will lead to other things as well.

Brave1 said...

Sanercomic said...

Thanks for the invitation....

I'll come and put my 2cents..LOL

Mean time.... hope u agree with me...in a macro level.

Brave1 said...

Mosh,

I don;t believe in separate stages...which is not practical because no body waits and no bdy can wait...

So...even for economic activity...it has to start configuring from now on...and there could be requirements for changes...

Moshe Dyan said...

noltte,

no!!

we can do it. the govt should do more and individuals also should do more. foregn govts should be targeted, not the general public in the US, UK, etc., etc.

this is what the LTTE diaspora has got wrong. but their plan is working indirectly, as you know.

we can bypass BS and reach directly to the authorities.

we also have to expect that some authorities will take face-save measures when LTTE propoganda goes up. but these are nothing to worry about.

actually we don't need anymore "PUBLIC" relations work. it is foreign governments that should be targeted.

govts, unlike individuals give less importance to PR expertise. they are more concerned about FACTS.

but is an agency can formulate a strategy to put forward our case more PROFESSIONALLY with FACTS, resemblances, etc. then that is worthwhile.

Moshe Dyan said...

brave1,

i'm afraid i cannot agree bcos of the stated reasons.

i know ppl want MORE development ASAP but only infrastructure development will come somewhat soon, not real development that ppl feel. we can demand but it is NEVER going to happen.

this is what happened to the East as well and unfortunately micro economic activity takes a LONG time to bear fruit. even most of these activites will NOT start MANY MONTHS after the war has ended.

foreign investors??? they will take years to come!!! (other than expansions)

govt investments in business???
will be close to zero.

SL companies and other investors???
after many months of ending the war. no investor is going to risk his money. SL companies (hayleys, etc.) will be VERY VERY careful.
individual investors will also be slow.

remember macro economic activities are different (as i said b4) and can easily become useless unless the micro economies take off. we are yet to see this in the east, unfortunately.

GutiKewa - ගුටි දෙනවා said...

Very positive indeed!

Meanwhile, a leading member of the European Parliament, Robert Evans, Chairman of the European Parliament Delegation for relations with South Asia, called on UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon to send a peacekeeping mission to Sri Lanka as soon as possible.

"All the evidence suggests that about quarter of a million people are not just stuck in limbo, but could be caught in a ghastly blood bath," said Evans, a member of the British Labour Party.

He said that the civilians were terrified of Sri Lankan troops advancing on them, as well as the LTTE which might shoot anyone who tries to escape from the remaining areas under its control.

At the UN, a move by Mexico to bring the Sri Lanka situation on to the Security Council was scuttled by Russia (The Sunday Times city edition last week exclusively reported this). Russia took up the position that Sri Lanka was not on the agenda of the Security Council.

Asked if Russia had opposed a proposal to discuss the humanitarian situation in Sri Lanka, Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin told reporters there was "little exchange" (of ideas) at an informal session of the Security Council. "We believe that the Security Council should stick to items on its agenda."

As of now, Sri Lanka was not on the agenda. There are other fora, he said, to discuss the situation in Sri Lanka. "Why not go to the other fora?" he asked, but did not spell out any details. A Foreign Ministry source said there was little chance that the Sri Lanka situation would be brought up before the Security Council.

He said both Russia and China would oppose such a move because the Russians wanted to avoid its human rights situation in Chechenya being put on the Security Council agenda and the Chinese would protect their flank against any attempts to put Tibet on the agenda. “In short, the asylum has been taken over by the inmates,” the source said.

According to Foreign Ministry sources, any proposal for a UN peace keeping force in Sri Lanka is a hard-sell because such a decision can be taken only by the 15-member Security Council. No peace keeping force can be despatched to any country without Security Council authorization, he added.

Source - European parliament’s South Asia chief calls for UN peacekeeping force

samantha said...

Sunday Times says Prabha & others are getting ready to a mass suicide

Any truth?

gonzales said...

My grandma makes pink prophylactics
She pierces the end with a pin
My grandpa gets rich on abortions
My God, how the money rolls in!

http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/srilank/articles/20090208.aspx?comments=Y

Kudos to the guy who posted the original comment. That little verse describes the whole thing in a nutshell.

Mahen said...

What a short memory these Chena girls have, they already forgot the war. Only talking about the election results.
We need some investments towards up north. My aunties and rest of the civilians should be settled in their own homes soon as possible.

Will get aunty to count the remaining civilian numbers with some facts to educate me soon.

Anonymous said...

Mahen

You should have have a tamil friend if you didn't know tamil (as Peter said) and fool the diasspora even more.. we had a lot of fun..

Anonymous said...

Major sea rescue of 25,000 civilians

The government and the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) are discussing a major sea-evacuation plan for an estimated 25,000, displaced people now gathered in the coastal front of Mullaitivu, the government and the ICRC confirmed yesterday.

Prabha planning mass suicide: Basil

Presidential Advisor Basil Rajapaksa claimed yesterday that LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran was planning a mass suicide involving himself and hundreds of hardcore cadres on the beaches of Mullaitivu as the security forces continued to close in from several directions

Anonymous said...

@ Sea rescue - Great.. but be careful about the security of Trinco..

@ VP's Mass suicide - Great.. Hope our diASSpora can do the same at the same time in their own countries..

Mahen said...

Not here to prove what I/We can personaly do ladies.
Not here to fool any one either. Tamil language getting used by me in our own web sites (Other than blogs).

Rana said...

Mahen,

Start counting your aunties chickens and eggs. Don’t think about civilians. Those civilians are forgotten by Tamils Diaspora but we haven’t. We are doing everything in our power to bring them to safety and loving care of Sinhalese.

When international community sees that you Diaspora Tamils will be in trouble, get ready to come back, we will wait for you all at Katunayaka International Airport.

Sujeewa Kokawala said...

Re: PC elections

- Sweeping victory. I guess before the Pussycats, UNP will surrender in front of MR.

- For another time, UNP reformist will rebellion and RW will appoint a committee and take up a foreign holiday till heat is over.

- In any case we should protect RW as leader of UNP. He's unintentionally oing a great service for the war.

- MR shouldn't let SB cross over, which looks like a possible long term result of this election.

[I am practicing point based short form as some of you suggested, we need to be to the point and precise to make our writing meaningful]

Sam Perera said...

"GutiKewa - ගුටි දෙනවා said...

Does anyone knows where Task Force 5, 6 and 7 are deployed?

Obviously they are defense divisions.
What do you think guys?"

I had no idea that there was a TF-7 already. Somewhere, I read that TF-5 and 6 were deployed behind 57 and 58. Ranga Jayasuriya says that 57 is also put in reserve. That is one ell of reserve force anyway.

Moshe Dyan said...

the truth about the "mass suicide"

vezapillai is getting a large number of civilians to commit mass suicide b4 he does it.

this is the truth.

he expects this to attract international attention to the "tamil elam struggle" and dispel govt propoganda that ppl are being kept forcibly.

but the IC is not fools to believe that BS. it is another hate buliding exercise ONLY.

i'm not surprised if vezapillai gets hundreds of ppl to commit suicide and escape somewhere!!

Sam Perera said...

SK,

I roamed in Central and Wayamba Provinces a few weeks ago talking to the people from various walks of life. Regardless of the economic hardships, the all had the same hope of an upcoming peace and prosperity after the imminent defeat of LTTE. The more I spoke, the more I felt how badly disconnected the UNP led by RW. Anyway, I came back with the conclusion that UNP has no chance in the hell unless the top leadership resigns immediately.

Moshe Dyan said...

sujeewa,

lol!!

thats the positive side of things.

agree about SB, RW.

but more importantly we should protect MR/BR. apart from them SLFP has even bigger jokers than SB, i think. but no one can beat RW.

does anyone have RW's horoscope???

BlackPanther said...

The Govt should have international media during the mass evacution so that the world gets to know how we treat tamil civilians.

Sam Perera said...

Gutikewa,

This is from Sunday Observer.

"The formation of Task Force VIII came after the formation of two Task Forces, Task Force VI and Task Force VII were deployed in Pooneryn and Iyakachchi areas to hold the areas captured during the past few months With this new deployment Army has strengthened its defences in the Mullaitivu, Mullaitivu West and Puthukuduyiruppu South."

GutiKewa - ගුටි දෙනවා said...

Thanks Sam.

"That is one hell of reserve force anyway"

Yes indeed mate. :)

Ananda-USA said...

Terrorism Business: All In The Family

gonzales said...

My grandma makes pink prophylactics
She pierces the end with a pin
My grandpa gets rich on abortions
My God, how the money rolls in!

http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/srilank/articles/20090208.aspx?comments=Y

Kudos to the guy who posted the original comment. That little verse describes the whole thing in a nutshell."

February 15, 2009 12:01 PM

Wonderful! Thanks for posting!

See my version in comment at Terrorism Business: All In The Family

The LTTE makes pink prophylactics
They pierce the ends with a pin
Tamil Diaspora gets rich on abortions
My God, how the money rolls in!

MathaMathica said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Unknown said...

Guys,
You need to visit below link and post your comment againt LTTE in UK THE INDEPENDENT paper.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/sri-lanka-the-war-the-world-forgot-1622488.html

If you can read The Independent published on 14th Feb 2009. It has highly critisised SL forces and government over civiliance killings without blaming to terrorits. Our foriegn ministry or Embasy in UK should reply to them.

Unknown said...

Yesterday, UK The Independent paper defense analyst has emphasised a UN involvement to current SL issue.

MathaMathica said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Peter said...

Boo!

Peter said...

Lol! The Independent has become our newest terrorist paper?

Why not get DefenceLK to publish a personal attack on the editor of that paper? That'll do well.

Peter said...

Shouldn't you start somewhere closer to home?

Why are so many moda Lankans flocking to and even contributing to a RAW operated website?

Even worse, I've just noticed that this so called SLN senior is giving a link to that website.

JWick said...

Peter,
Back again running away from questions yesterday?

Peter said...

JWick,

Yes.

JWick said...

Peter
Did you see the Tamil pregnant suicide bomber in TV yesterday?

Ra said...

"Presidential Advisor Basil Rajapaksa claimed yesterday that LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran was planning a mass suicide involving himself and hundreds of hardcore cadres on the beaches of Mullaitivu as the security forces continued to close in from several directions"

Thats a good one!

Pandula said...

Hey you Kallathoni under Peter alias

When are you committing self BBQ ?

JWick said...

Peter,
I am not going to ask that question again.

gladiator said...

JWick

{Did you see the Tamil pregnant suicide bomber in TV yesterday?
}

any web link ??

Pandula said...

Some Genocide guy said,

This new phone registration requirement has made me LMAO.
How can Mahinda track


I laugh at your stupidity as well.


1. Mobile phones registered out of the country and are roaming in SL?

If anyone want use the phone they register at the airport.
no need to go through the pain,
In the interest of national security may be roaming should be suspended.


2. Modern phones can connect to Skype and other VOIP services via HSDPA. How on earth Mohinda going to ask Skype users to submit him a photo and other details?

King's are stupid. Their කේවට්ට පන්ඩිතයන් make the public see king's stupidity.


it is easy to tap the SIP protocol at the provider if the lawful intercept is enabled.
Hell with LI, just block the ports
There are many countries doing it already.

Shame on you, why do I get the talatel smell in your post ?

As we are in the same subject here is another idea for MR.

we should try to shoot down those satellites LTTE terrorists using.

At least such attempt will drive the stock value down of that company.

DoDo said...

Hey, lets celebrate the elections victory!


SLAF destroy 3 LTTE suicide boats

The Air Force says it attacked and destroyed three LTTE suicide boats in the Mullaitivu seas near the wreckage of the Farah-3 ship.


DM

JWick said...

Gladiator,
Ape bhasawen liyanne kohomada?

JWick said...

Peter,
What happened to you?
SELF-GENOCIDE??

Peter said...

JWick,

Hiding from your "valiant" questions.

JWick said...

Peter,

Evasive again huh?

JWick said...

Peter,
All this time were you searching the youtube for that Tamil pregnant suicide bomber?

DoDo said...

mama hemadaama elections paradenawa. eka kochchara simple plan ekak da....

Ra said...

My comments on DM never got published. :-(

Lalith Kuruwita said...

These days Both RW & VP say land is worthless. When SLA took over east RW said it is a jungle and worthless. LTTP said we withdrew because it is worthless.

Probably both have to go to TN.

I haven't heard any agitation from TN for a week or so.

Has anybody heard any thing from TN?

Lalith Kuruwita said...

MR has invited all Tamil parties for a solution in the democratic path.

"Leaders of Tamil National Alliance (TNA), Tamil United Liberation Front (TULF), Thamil Makkal Viduthalai Pulikal (TMVP), Tamizh Democratic National Alliance (TDNA), Pathmanabha Eelam Revolutionary Liberation Front (PERLF), Up-Country People's Front (UPF), Eelam People's Democratic Party (EPDF), Tamil Eelam Liberation Organization, (TELO), Ceylon Workers' Congress (CWC), will be invited besides Deputy Ministers Suresh Vadivel, Parliamentarian Vinayagamoorthy Muralitharan, Vadivel Puttirasigamani and others."

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